Last night, the City provided us with data on known positive Hoboken cases current to Friday, April 11. We now know a lot more about on the rate of COVID-19 spread in Hoboken, who is affected by age and gender, the mortality rate by age, and the success of Hoboken's efforts to 'flatten the curve. '
As of yesterday, 278 Hoboken residents have tested positive for coronavirus. Slightly more than half (52%) are women.
Recent data shows that the majority (57%) of known coronavirus cases in Hoboken are in the 17 to 40 age group. However, mortality deaths ocurring in ages 51+, none below age 50.
Is Hoboken an outlier?
No. The CDC breaks down percentage of hospitalizations for reported COVID-19 by age group, and deaths by age group, reported from February 12 - March 16, 2020.
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| https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/mm6912e2.htm |
The CDC reports that the 20-44 age group has by far the most cases, with 0.1% to 0.2% deaths, while senior age groups, fewer in cases, have astounding mortality rates: 2.7% to 27.3%.
As for steadily rising total of cases, they follow the arc of residents becoming symptomatic, and availability of testing for symptomatic residents.
Next is the hopeful one. The reduction in "cases per day" signals that Hoboken's early enforcement of COVID-19 mitigation: bar closures, eat-in restaurant ban, non-essential business closures, HHA community room closures, and most of all self- quarantine and face-mask wearing policies are FLATTENING THE CURVE. New cases are reducing in number.
That is why the City's policies must continue into the foreseeable future. They are WORKING. Hoboken acted EARLY- before other NJ cities and the state- and it has saved lives.
The last chart shows that 1/3 of Hoboken's known coronavirus cases are considered recovered. That is great. Recovered people: you may want to avail yourselves to the scientific community. Bring on those antibodies!
So, thank you City of Hoboken for keeping the public up to speed.
Note: seniors need extra attention from their Council persons now to make sure they are following the City's guidelines. I know Assemblywoman Annette Chaparro has been doing an awesome job. But it's up to ALL of our council persons to check in on their senior constituents' buildings, to make sure they are reading the notices provided by the City and completely understand them. A few may need reminding. I had an elderly mom in a memory unit, I know how that works.
If Council persons work with City Hall--it takes a village--then surely we will come out the other side a stronger, better and kinder place.
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